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Slot Rankings - How Wide Receivers Score More Touchdowns in the Slot
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Slot Efficiency
The objective of slot efficiency is to maximize the number of slot changes that can be made without breaking a predefined set of constraints. These constraints usually include the minimal operational delay (usually expressed in terms of scheduling delays), fairness and equity, access and competition, environmental objectives and many more. The process of distributing slots isn't easy and optimizing it to achieve desired performance metrics requires careful analysis of the factors involved.
The process begins by identifying the types of requests to prioritize by reference to the past experience. Once the type is identified then the slot allocation model is then employed to reduce the delay criteria. A number of research gaps have been found in relation to the slot scheduling models that optimize, particularly when balancing fairness and efficiency.
A common method of prioritizing slot assignments is the ABC (assigned by velocity) strategy that collects information about the history of items and then determines a velocity group. Items that have the highest speed are allocated the top slots in the warehouse, while items with slower speed are placed further back.
Another key element of slot efficiency is the distance factor, which is the amount of space that must be allotted to support the pick-to-ship process. The measure takes into account the velocity group of items, as well as their racking placements and the characteristics of handling equipment.
It is crucial to be aware of the costs associated with a slot change to improve the efficiency of your slot. A quick analysis of the typical slot changes can aid managers in determining the cost associated with the move, and the impact that it might have on other elements of slot efficiency, including speed.
After spending a few months testing the data and back-dating the recommendations, the casino started using the system more often. The gaming operations team estimates that they will save between 10-12 hours a month by using their traditional analysis. This does not include the time spent reviewing data from customers or preparing new, actionable strategy.
Based on the new recommendations from SRE the team was able to make dozens of game change suggestions that increased the revenue of players. Particularly, Dancing Drums Explosion and Twinstar Wave XL, both from Scientific Games, saw big gains in the premium lease and WAP rankings. The casino was also able to shift their budget from marketing and other costs to enhancing floor performance.
Perimeter Efficiency
We all know wide receivers tend score more touchdowns when they're in a position to hit the perimeter targets instead of slot targets. This is because they are generally targeted downfield and usually have one-on-one coverage. However, what may surprise some is the different between the top five slot receivers and the rest in scoring on those targets that are located in the perimeter.
Of the wide receivers that have been on at least 40 targets each of the last two seasons The top five slot scorers on the perimeter routes were all speed receivers: Mike Evans, Amari Cooper, Tyler Lockett and Michael Gallup. The bottom of this list is dominated by players who are more possession-based, such as Chris Godwin and Diontae Johnston. The Bucs are likely to shift the latter two players into the slot more often during this season, which should increase their targets. However, they'll need to improve their scoring on the perimeter in order to maintain their top-of-the-line performance.
Speedy wideouts are among the biggest beneficiaries of moving into the slot, because they generally have an easier time getting open downfield in the event that their route isn't blocked by a cornerback or linebacker. Corey Coleman is the only wide receiver who isn't a speedy wideout but would benefit from more slot time. He's a solid target for short and intermediate routes.
Jerry Jeudy, KJ Hamler and other possession-based receivers are at the bottom of the list. They're better on shorter and intermediate routes than deep zones. Jeudy is a good sleeper pick this year since he'll be the primary slot receiver for the Rams while Courtland Sutton and Amari Cooper are largely expected to be involved in more downfield targets. Hamler, meanwhile, should excel on shorter-to-mid and intermediate routes, because it was where he excelled when playing for the Bills in 2021. Hamler could be a great replacement for departed wideout Jordan Matthews in Buffalo.
Percentage of Snaps in the Slot
The percentage of snaps a receiver takes in the slot is an excellent indicator of their ability to run deep routes. It is not always a reliable indicator of a receiver's abilities, as certain receivers excel in the slot, but they can't play more deep.
Alshon Jeffrey, for example is the league leader in targets received per game (4.8) however, he is only ranked 6th in slot receiving scores (58.5). This is because the majority of his targets come from outside and it's hard to make a first down on a wide-open, deep route.
Some receivers are better playing inside, whereas others struggle to do so on the outside. Robby Anderson, for example, was given 978 snaps by the Panthers this season. He logged 74% of his routes in the slot, compared to only 26% on boundaries routes. This is a significant difference and indicates how much more efficient he is when aligned in the slot.
Furthermore it is worth noting that the Buccaneers' Chris Godwin lines in the middle on the majority of his passing downs and has a top five slot receiving score (58.5). He also ran 51% of his perimeter routes and is a pro in one-on-one coverage.
Speed receivers are typically more efficient when they line up inside, as they can get targeted way down the field and frequently have one-on-one coverage. You'll find names like Mike Evans, Amari Cooper and Julio Jones in our top five.
McDuffie, Moore and other slot cornerbacks are also in this group. Both have been able to generate pressures in the passing game, with McDuffie leading the NFL with seven forced fumbles, and Moore having the highest tackle stop performance on this list (-3.5). Spagnuolo maximized McDuffie's skills by putting him in the slot for nickel and dime packages and then moving him to the outside for base defense. Additionally, Moore's ability to stop big run plays has been a huge advantage when playing in the slot.
Percentage of Snaps Outside
While the NFL's top receivers such as Baldwin, Golden Tate and Larry Fitzgerald excel on the perimeter, it's also important to note that their slot counterparts are equally good. Wide receivers with a high slot grade score touchdowns about the same as those on the perimeter. This is mostly because quarterbacks have a more stable target distribution when throwing to outside and slot receivers, compared to other inside options such as tight ends and backfield pass-catchers.
It's also interesting to see a receiver such as CeeDee Lamb on this list in 2022, since he plays slot in three WR sets and flanker in two of the sets. In fact, he's running a higher number of routes in the slot than most of the players listed on this list. This is a great method to gain matchup advantages for your team. slot strategy helps to explain why Lamb is the top-rated receiver in our system.
He also plays at the X-position and makes huge plays from outside. Lamb isn't nearly as explosive as the other players in this ranking however, he's an extremely high-quality receiver and is a great match for the Cowboys scheme.
Mecole Hardman is a further example of a player who's capable of putting up big numbers on both kinds of targets. He has a high slot receiver grade and is among the league's top players at catching back-shoulder throws but he's also a great player for contested-catch.
Jalen Hilton is another player who is slot specialist. He's been positioned in this position on 85.7 percent of his defensive snaps to date. He's allowed the third-lowest target EPA and the fifth-best run stop EPA for cornerbacks that are aligned in the slot, which makes him an important player in the defense of his team. On the other hand, he's struggled to block passes from the outside and has allowed a negative EPA against these types of targets. This is because he's been playing with linebackers and safety players who can't compete with Hilton's speed, size and ability to run routes.
