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Slot Rankings - How Wide Receivers Score More Touchdowns in the Slot
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Slot Efficiency
The goal of slot efficiency is to maximize the number of changes to the slot that can be made, without violating a predefined set of constraints. These constraints usually include the minimum permitted operational delay (usually expressed in terms of scheduling delays), fairness and equity, access and competition, environmental goals and many more. The process of distributing slots is a complex one and optimizing it to reach the desired performance metrics requires careful analysis of all the factors at play.
In general, the process starts with the identification of the types of requests to be prioritized based on established historical precedence. Once the type of request has been determined and a slot allocation model is employed to reduce the delay criteria. However, many research gaps have been observed in the optimization of slot scheduling models especially when trying to balance fairness and efficiency.
A common method for prioritizing slot assignments is the ABC (assigned by velocity) strategy that collects item history data and determines a velocity group. Items with the highest velocity receive the best slots, whereas less popular items are placed farther back in the warehouse.
The distance factor is another key element in slot efficiency. It measures the amount of space required to facilitate the pick-to-ship process. The factor takes into account the velocity group of the items, as in addition to their placement on racking and equipment handling characteristics.
It is important to also be aware of the costs of a change in the slot to improve slot efficiency. Managers can assess the costs of a typical change to a slot and its impact on other aspects of slot efficiency such as velocity by analyzing the typical slot.
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Perimeter Efficiency
We all know wide receivers are more likely to score touchdowns when they're in a position to hit perimeter targets rather than slot targets. This is because they are generally focused downfield and typically have one-on-one coverage. What might be surprising to people is the difference between the top five slot receivers and the rest of them when it comes to scoring on these perimeter targets.
Mike Evans, Amari cooper, Tyler Lockett, and Michael Gallup were the top five scorers in the slot on perimeter routes. They were among the 66 wide receivers who saw at least 40 targets in each of the two previous seasons. The bottom half of the list was filled with more possession-based receivers, including Chris Godwin and Diontae Johnson. The latter two are likely to see an increase in their targets this season, if the Bucs shift them into the slot more often, but they'll need to increase their perimeter scoring to keep that high level.
The slot is the ideal option for wideouts who are quick, since they can get open more quickly when their route will not be covered by a cornerback or linebacker. Corey Coleman is the only wide receiver who isn't a fast wideout but would benefit from more slot work. He's a solid player for intermediate and short routes.
Jerry Jeudy, KJ Hamler and other receivers who are based on possession are at the low end of the list. They are better in short and intermediate routes rather than deep zones. Jeudy is expected to be the Rams principal slot receiver this year, is a sleeper pick. Courtland Cooper and Amari Sutton are expected to play a greater role in downfield targets. Hamler, meanwhile, should be a natural on short-to-mid-long and intermediate routes, since it was where he excelled when playing for the Bills in 2021. He could be a great replacement for the departing wideout Jordan Matthews in Buffalo.
Percentage of Snaps In Slot
The proportion of snaps that a receiver makes in the slot is an excellent indicator of their ability to play deep routes. However, it isn't always a true representation of a receiver's abilities since certain receivers excel in the slot but cannot play deep, and vice versa.
Alshon Jeffrey, for example, leads the league in targets received per game (4.8), but is only 6th in slot receiving scores (58.5). This is due to the fact that the majority of his targets are from outside and it's hard to make a first down on an open, deep route.
On the other hand, some receivers excel in playing inside, but struggle on the perimeter. Robby Anderson, for example, was given 978 snaps by the Panthers this season. He ran 74% of his route in the slot, as opposed to only 26% on boundaries routes. This is a huge distinction and demonstrates how much more productive Robby Anderson is when aligned to the slot.
Moreover, the Buccaneers' Chris Godwin lines up inside on most of his passing downs, and has a top five slot receiving score (58.5). However he also ran 51 percent of his perimeter routes last season and is a top performer in one-on-one coverage.
Speed receivers are usually more effective when lining up inside, as they are able to get targeted down the field, and often find themselves with one-on-one coverage. That's why you'll see names like Julio Jones, Mike Evans, and Amari Cooper in the top five on our list.
McDuffie, Moore and other slot cornerbacks also belong to this group. McDuffie is the leader in the NFL in forced fumbles, with seven, while Moore is the most effective tackle-stop performance (-3.5) on this list. Spagnuolo maximized McDuffie's skills by placing his slot for nickel and dime packs and then shifting him to the outside for base defense. Moore's ability in stopping big run plays is a major benefit when playing the slot.
Percentage of Snaps Outside
While the NFL's top receivers, such as Baldwin, Golden Tate and Larry Fitzgerald excel on the perimeter, it's also worth noting that their slot counterparts are equally excellent. Wide receivers who have high slot grades score touchdowns about the same as those on the outside. This is mostly because quarterbacks have a more stable target distribution when throwing to outside and slot receivers than to other inside options, such as tight ends and backfield pass-catchers.
This is why it's fascinating to see a player like CeeDee Lamb on this list in 2022, since he plays slot in three WR sets and flanker in two of the sets. Lamb is running more routes in the slot than a lot of the players listed on this chart. latest slots is an excellent way to generate matchup benefits for your team. It also helps to explain why Lamb is the highest-rated slot receiver in our system this season.
Of course, he also plays the X position and makes big plays from the perimeter too. Lamb isn't as powerful as the other players in this ranking but he is still an elite wide receiver who is well-suited to the Cowboys scheme.
Mecole Hardman, another player who is able to put huge numbers with targets of all kinds, is a different example. He has a high slot receiver grade and is among the league's best at catching back-shoulder throws, but he's also a great opponent for contested catch.
Jalen Hilton is another player who is a slot specialist. He's lined up in this position on 85.7 percent of his defensive plays thus far in the season. He has the third-lowest EPA for targets, and the fifth-best EPA for run stops among cornerbacks in the slot. This makes him a key part of his team's defensive unit. On the other hand, he's had trouble to stop passes from the outside and has allowed an unfavorable EPA against these types of targets. This is a result of playing with unsafe linebackers who don't have the same size, speed and route-running ability.
