When-will-Ukraine-war-end-How-Putin-could-be-stopped-and-timeline-of-Russias-invasion-w

Energy supplies and communications networks are cut off. The government is replaced with a pro-Moscow puppet regime. President Zelensky is either assassinated or flees, to western Ukraine or even overseas, to set up a government in exile. President Putin declares victory and withdraws some forces, leaving enough behind to maintain some control.

Many Russian nationalists, though, perceive Ukraine as a breakaway region of greater Russia. During President Putin's marathon state address on Feb. 21, he accused Western countries of attempting "to deprive Russia of these historical territories that are now called Ukraine," making war the only way to "protect the people in our historical lands." From https://anotepad.com/notes/c6bn2d8x of the war, President Putin has drawn parallels between the Soviet Union's victory over Nazi Germany in World War II and the current military campaign against supposed "neo-Nazis" in Ukraine.

Russia-Ukraine war could last for years, say western leaders

The German chancellor, Olaf Scholz, conceded in an interview that his country had “concentrated our energy supply too much on Russia” to the point that it was not possible to change course “if the worst came to the worst”. But he defended his predecessor Angela Merkel’s policy of seeking good relations with Moscow. Ukraine has been calling for a large influx of western weaponry so that it can try to push back the Russian invaders, but what has been offered so far is less than Kyiv has requested.

After liberating a handful of villages in the summer, Ukrainian and Russian forces have been caught in largely attritional battles, with neither side making significant gains. The second thing to keep in mind here is that you must believe that any deal you make will stick, so there won’t be drastic changes in the future which will give one side an advantage and they will renege on the deal. The thing that is striking is that there is a cap on Ukrainian aims.

All that happened this week in Russia-Ukraine war

"It seems that there are a number of so-called Western leaders who possess the explicit need for self-humiliation, in combination with a total detachment from political reality," Artis Pabriks tweeted. "We need to make sure that Russia is driven out of Ukraine by the Ukrainians," the Foreign Secretary Liz Truss said last week. Russia admitted 498 of its troops have been killed and 1,597 wounded but Ukraine continued to put those numbers in the thousands. The UN says more than 870,000 people have fled Ukraine since the invasion began. An armoured convoy of tanks and military vehicles, reported to be 40-mile long headed towards Kyiv. Ukrainian officials reported that up to 5,000 Russian troops had been killed so far.

Here’s an overview of what’s happened since the invasion began and how long the war could last. With both Ukraine and Russia investing heavily in the war, it's unlikely there will be any negotiations to end the conflict or agree to a cease-fire. Defense analysts argue that neither side would want to go into negotiations unless they're in a position of strength and able to dictate terms. Rumblings of discontent over continuing Ukraine aid have been heard in some Republican quarters for months now, as well as in Eastern Europe. There are concerns that, given Trump's previous good relations with Moscow and "America First" policy, aid for Ukraine could be shelved rapidly. Defense analysts agree that much of the outlook for Ukraine is dependent on the outcome of the U.S. vote.

The economics of Russia’s war in Ukraine

Putin denied a second wave of mobilization was necessary for now, but in early December he signed a decree ordering the military to increase the number of Russian armed forces personnel by 170,000, bringing the total number of troops to 1.32 million. Russia has shown that it is committed to a long conflict in Ukraine and that it has the capacity to send hundreds of thousands of men to war. Putin claimed in his end-of year news conference that 617,000 troops were currently active in Ukraine. Another year of war in Europe has undoubtedly drained Western military resources and the political appetite to maintain massive amounts of military aid for Ukraine.

Full 7th Floor, 130 West 42nd Street,New York,NY 10036. "There is not going to be a Vichy Ukraine," former U.S. "There may be an effort to create it but the Ukrainians are not going to go gently into the good night. They are going to fight like hell."

Cases of whole Russian units refusing orders and armed standoffs between officers and their troops continue to occur,” the ministry said on Twitter. But Ukraine's air defenses were surprisingly effective, shooting down many Russian fighter jets and helicopters in the first couple months of the war. That said, there wasn't much of a political will for third countries to sanction Cuba at the time. It's possible today's situation with Russia might make such a policy more politically palatable if the U.S. attempted it again, though I can't find any serious proposal in the government to do just that.

368,000 Ukrainian people had crossed the border into Poland, Moldova and other neighbouring countries. Ukrainians flocked to bomb shelters in Kyiv as missiles struck the city and as Russian tanks took hold just 6 miles from Kyiv’s Parliament and the city centre. Mr Zelensky ordered a mobilisation of all conscripts and reservists in all regions, as Ukrainian males aged 18 to 60 were banned from leaving the country. A number of Russian oligarchs who are believed to have a close relationship with the president, have also criticised the war. Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has insisted that a solution to the crisis could be found and a new round of talks were expected to start between Ukrainian and Russian officials.

• In fact, I was alerted to Professor Goemans’ work by a contact who works in the American government, and he was cited as something that his colleagues had been studying as they tried to see how this war might be brought to a close.









• By early summer Ukraine will be able to use US-made F16 fighter jets for the first time, which it hopes will improve its ability to counter Russian aircraft and strengthen its own air defences.









• Ukrainians also make a calculation it’s just worth the cost.

And, surprisingly, Russian and Ukrainian officials have met for talks on the border with Belarus. But, by agreeing to the talks, Putin seems to at least have accepted the possibility of a negotiated ceasefire. Joe Gould was the senior Pentagon reporter for Defense News, covering the intersection of national security policy, politics and the defense industry. The Pentagon declined to say whether the GLSDB will be used to attack Russian targets in Crimea.

• On Feb. 24, 2022, Russian forces attacked Ukraine without frozen ground to support their armored vehicles, which meant they had to stick to roads, where they stood out as easy targets.









• Thousands of troops have died, billions of dollars in military hardware wasted and entire cities subjected to relentless bombardment – and more than four months on, Russia’s fierce military campaign in Ukraine continues unabated.









• But he says basically if this doesn’t work, try something else.









• And the near-total control of information by the government is making dissent difficult.

The Ukrainians do not have unlimited resources of course, especially artillery ammunition and long-range precision weapons. With just three UK-provided Storm Shadow cruise missiles, they have forced the commander of the Black Sea Fleet to withdraw a third of his fleet from Sevastopol. It is in a fight for its survival and understands what Russia will do if it stops. More European nations are now talking about the need to step up aid in light of concerns that the US is weakening in its resolve. The military course of this war in 2024 will be determined in Moscow, Kyiv, Washington, Brussels, Beijing, Tehran and Pyongyang more than in Avdiivka, Tokmak, Kramatorsk or any of the devastated battlefields along the frontlines.